By SAM WANG

In one of the most emotionally wrenching presidential races in living memory, Donald J. Trump’s support is as level as a pond. In polls, it is holding steady around 41 percent, right where it was after the first debate in late September. This plateau has persisted through the second and third debates with his opponent, Hillary Clinton ( Read more... )

The Polls Aren’t Skewed: [Bloviating T-bag] Really Is Losing Bad


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How do you predict a general election with Donald Trump ( Read more... )

Covering elections isn't only about math. Just ask Carl Diggler.


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The New York Times editorial board is up today with an opinion piece that one would have to go out of the way not to read as an endorsement of Bernie Sanders as the Democrat most likely to deliver victory in November.The board didn’t write “vote Bernie Sanders” or explicitly call ‘take-backs’ on their January 30 endorsement of Hillary Clinton in ( Read more... )

[percentages are chances of victory]

Feb. 20th
SC Republican Primary:
Trump: 76%
Rubio: 13%
Cruz: 9%
Bush: 1%

NV Democratic Caucus:
Clinton: 75%
Sanders: 25%

Feb. 23rd
NV Republican Caucus:
Trump: 66%
Rubio: 22%
Cruz: 11%

Feb. 27
SC Democratic Primary:
Clinton: greater than 99%
Sanders: less than 1%

( more inside )